In his incessant flood of statements, in the past few hours Donald Trump has made it known that the actions of the armed forces in support of ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz have allowed more than 100 million barrels of oil to cross the Strait and reach the free market. « More of 200 merchant ships - highlighted the American president - they crossed the Strait safely. This extraordinary success - he added - is due to the fact that the Member States The United States of America control the Strait of Hormuz, not Iran. The their army - he underlined - has been defeated and their economy is lost. It's over for Iran!" Few hours later Trump announced that he had decided, taking note "that discussions with the Islamic Republic of Iran have been brought to the highest levels of Iranian leadership and approved," to cancel "the attacks and bombings against Iran scheduled for this evening. Discussions and loose ends - he - have been approved, both conceptually and in the details, from all parties involved, including the United States, Israel, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, Qatar, Turkey, Pakistan, Bahrain, Kuwait, Jordan, Egypt and others. The naval blockade will remain in full force until finalisation of this agreement. Date and place of signing will be announced at short".

Waiting like everyone else to know if the communication of an agreement with Iran, repeatedly announced by Trump, will result in this time in the signing of a pact that even today the seems far from wanting to sign, the French AXSMarine also raises some doubts about the latest statements of the U.S. President on the success of the operation to restore maritime traffic in the Strait of Hormuz. The shipping intelligence and naval market analysis companies announced that, on the basis of its AIS data, in the period between May 4 and June 10, 2026 the Strait of Hormuz was crossed by 140 commercial ships from the Persian Gulf, which, including ships entering the Persian Gulf, rises to about 220 ship transits. However - AXSMarine specified - the latter figure does not relate only to the ships assisted in the transit from the Freedom Project initiated by the US administration to restore maritime traffic in the region, but includes all commercial transits, including ships using routes of the naval corridor in the Strait under the control of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps.

In addition, AXSMarine highlighted that, in order to assess the success of the actions for the restoration of ship traffic in the Strait of Hormuz, a year-on-year comparison is essential from which it is possible to whereas in the same 38-day period in 2025, 2,155 crossings of commercial ships leaving the Strait of Hormuz, equal to an average of 56.7 outbound crossings at the day. The company pointed out that therefore in the 38 days by 2026, outgoing traffic is therefore only 6-7% of the levels of a year ago.

In addition, AXSMarine noted that if it was registered a clear peak in outbound crossings during the week immediately following 4 May, reaching the total weekly since the beginning of April, however the traffic decreased in the following weeks and in the first ten days in June was below the levels of April and March. The data - the company noted - therefore suggest that the increase in early May is due to considered as a brief recovery in demand, suppressed after weeks of reduced traffic, rather than as a reopening lasting of the Strait.