Independent journal on economy and transport policy
CENTRO INTERNAZIONALE STUDI CONTAINERS
ANNO XXXVIII - Numero APRILE 2020
DELOITTE HELPS NAVIGATE DISRUPTION WITH FIVE TRENDS
INFLUENCING TOMORROW'S MANUFACTURING INDUSTRY
At the start of the 2020s, it seems the only constant is an
intensified pace of disruption and a call for manufacturers to
recalibrate strategies and operations to prevail.
Deloitte has identified through leadership discussions and
analysis of primary and secondary sources five factors that are
expected to have an impact on manufacturers in the next 10 years.
Each varies in the time horizon of its potential impact, the scale
of disruption it could deliver, and the level of preparedness
manufacturers have for its expected impact. Nonetheless, all five
could redefine how manufacturing will possibly look by 2030.
This report describes these factors and suggests some of the
primary ways in which they could alter where, when and how
manufacturers deliver value to customers and other stakeholders.
Economic patterns: According to Deloitte research, some
traditional barometers for manufacturing health may not reflect the
new dynamics of today's economy. Regardless, companies should act
now to build resilience.
Manufacturers should first understand how they were impacted
during the past recessions and second, find ways to build resilience
for the upcoming ones.
1. For example, a statistical analysis of past recessions by
Deloitte found industrial manufacturers with easier access to
capital and relatively lower debts fared better in a recession and
posted higher revenue growth during recovery periods.
2. Also, while it's tempting to batten down the hatches and
close the coffers when heading into a slowdown or possible
recession, historically, industrial manufacturers that chose to
invest more in technology and assets posted much better results in
the recovery period.
Trade dynamism: A recent survey of Deloitte industrial
manufacturing leaders revealed a 92% consensus that manufacturers
are "minimally prepared" to handle long-term trade
Deloitte's industrial leaders expect that if international trade
volatility persists, manufacturers could move to managing their
operations and production more regionally, as soon as in the next
one to three years.
To increase resilience and prepare for the new normal in global
trade, Deloitte suggests companies assess and standardize trade
processes, derisk supply chains and partner with regional players,
among other approaches.
Digitization: Now is the time to make bold decisions regarding
digitization. According to Deloitte's industrial manufacturing
leaders, as many as 35% of today's industrial companies could be out
of business or significantly changed in the next decade if they
don't embrace digitization.
Deloitte's industrial leaders predict that in 10 years, as much
as 30% of new revenue for manufacturers could come from digital
revenue streams. In fact, industrial companies could see a 50/50
split between selling "products" and selling
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